GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDASU radioSun Devil Radio Network
UCF radioKnights Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCF a 60% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 2–0 · Arizona State won the last meeting, 35–31 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UCF
Home-field edge UCF
Model projection UCF
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Arizona State @ UCF
Your sims:Sims: UCF 0, ASU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Arizona State vs UCF Stats ComparisonASU vs UCF Stats Comparison
| Arizona StateASU | UCFUCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3#56 | PPG | 31.7#52 |
| 32#120 | PA/G | 21.7#50 |
| 420.3#49 | YDS/G | 354.8#99 |
| 276.7#23 | PASS/G | 192.7#106 |
| 143.7#88 | RUSH/G | 162.2#62 |
| 6.2#50 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 30.8%#129 | 3RD DOWN | 35.6%#107 |
| 0.05#107 | OFF PPA | 0.12#81 |
| 0.12#91 | DEF PPA | 0.00#38 |
| 43.8%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.4%#89 |
| 41.3%#80 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.0%#59 |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 24.8% |
| 1.23#72 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29#36 |
| 1435 | ELO | 1445 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | 4.1 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +4#22 |
| -1.3#75 | FPI | 5.2#51 |
| -3.9 | SRS | 9.9 |
THE VENUE
FBC Mortgage StadiumLocationOrlando, FL
Capacity44,206
SurfaceGrass
Opened2007
Elevation69 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Arizona State or UCF?
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