GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·SyracuseSYR2–4·ACC
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives SMU a 70% chance.
SeriesSMU leads 2–0 · SMU won the last meeting, 31–18 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SMU
Home-field edge SYR
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
SMU @ Syracuse
Your sims:Sims: SYR 0, SMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelSMU 70%MarketSMU 77%
Market 7 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $49 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
SMU vs Syracuse Stats ComparisonSMU vs Syracuse Stats Comparison
| SMUSMU | SyracuseSYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7#46 | PPG | 31.7#52 |
| 21.3#47 | PA/G | 25.7#88 |
| 470.8#14 | YDS/G | 449.5#30 |
| 329.3#5 | PASS/G | 289.8#14 |
| 141.5#93 | RUSH/G | 159.7#65 |
| 6.8#14 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 48.1%#23 | 3RD DOWN | 42.7%#53 |
| 0.21#40 | OFF PPA | 0.05#103 |
| 0.06#64 | DEF PPA | 0.03#49 |
| 48.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9%#84 |
| 37.7%#42 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#63 |
| 56.9% | RET PROD | 35.0% |
| 1.27#47 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.29#38 |
| 1699 | ELO | 1319 |
| 9.8#35 | FPI | 0.5#65 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| 12.8 | SP+ | -0.4 |
| 4.1 | SRS | -0.4 |
THE VENUE
JMA Wireless DomeLocationSyracuse, NY
Capacity49,057
SurfaceTurf
Opened1980
Elevation534 ft
FAN NEWS
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