GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCLA a 70% chance.
SeriesUCLA leads 18–1 · UCLA won the last meeting, 35–10 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UCLA
Home-field edge UCLA
Model projection UCLA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
San Diego State @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: UCLA 0, SDSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
San Diego State vs UCLA Stats ComparisonSDSU vs UCLA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| San Diego StateSDSU | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4#77 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 15.4#6 | PA/G | 33.4#127 |
| 356#91 | YDS/G | 319.8#120 |
| 157.9#125 | PASS/G | 180.2#115 |
| 198.9#19 | RUSH/G | 139.6#85 |
| 5.6#74 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 31.4%#130 | 3RD DOWN | 37.3%#92 |
| 0.12#95 | OFF PPA | 0.12#96 |
| 41.2%#81 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 35.4%#9 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.8%#135 |
| 98.7% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.18#106 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#112 |
| 0.7 | SP+ | 5.4 |
| 1.4#59 | FPI | 0.5#64 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -0.02#3 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 2 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
