GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives UCLA a 77% chance.
SeriesUCLA leads 3–0–2 · UCLA won the last meeting, 23–14 · 1980
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) UCLA
Home-field edge UCLA
Model projection UCLA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Purdue @ UCLA
Your sims:Sims: UCLA 0, PUR 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Purdue vs UCLA Stats ComparisonPurdue vs UCLA Stats Comparison
2025 stats| PurduePUR | UCLAUCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8#122 | PPG | 18.2#125 |
| 31.8#117 | PA/G | 33.4#127 |
| 343.6#102 | YDS/G | 319.8#120 |
| 217.2#80 | PASS/G | 180.2#115 |
| 126.4#105 | RUSH/G | 139.6#85 |
| 5.3#97 | YDS/PLAY | 5.2#104 |
| 38.4%#85 | 3RD DOWN | 37.3%#92 |
| 0.10#107 | OFF PPA | 0.12#96 |
| 0.27#132 | DEF PPA | 0.26#126 |
| 42.0%#73 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 47.8%#129 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.8%#135 |
| 47.5% | RET PROD | 57.0% |
| 1.22#77 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#112 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| -2.2 | SP+ | 5.4 |
| -0.9#71 | FPI | 0.5#64 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rose BowlLocationPasadena, CA
Capacity88,565
SurfaceGrass
Opened1922
Elevation804 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Purdue or UCLA?
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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
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