GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Baylor a 85% chance.
SeriesBaylor leads 5–1 · Baylor won the last meeting, 24–16 · 1996
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BAY
Home-field edge BAY
Model projection BAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Louisiana Tech @ Baylor
Your sims:Sims: BAY 0, LT 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)
Wvs Coastal Carolina23–14Wat Missouri State42–30Wvs Liberty34–28 (OT)Louisiana Tech2025: 8–5 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Louisiana Tech vs Baylor Stats ComparisonLT vs Baylor Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Louisiana TechLT | BaylorBAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3#71 | PPG | 31.1#33 |
| 20.8#35 | PA/G | 32.6#122 |
| 359.3#88 | YDS/G | 451.2#18 |
| 164.2#121 | PASS/G | 309.6#4 |
| 195.2#24 | RUSH/G | 141.6#83 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 41.0%#53 | 3RD DOWN | 37.8%#89 |
| 0.14#86 | OFF PPA | 0.19#49 |
| 0.04#15 | DEF PPA | 0.17#82 |
| 40.4%#95 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.7%#41 |
| 37.1%#19 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.7%#99 |
| 63.9% | RET PROD | 60.2% |
| 1.23#72 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.28#43 |
| +8#18 | TO MARGIN | −13#133 |
| -9.1 | SP+ | 3.8 |
| -9.6#108 | FPI | 6.5#37 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
McLane StadiumLocationWaco, TX
Capacity45,140
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation384 ft
FAN NEWS
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