GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDUSM radioSouthern Miss Radio Network
LT radioBulldog Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisiana Tech a 84% chance.
SeriesSouthern Miss leads 20–13 · Louisiana Tech won the last meeting, 30–20 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LT
Home-field edge LT
Model projection LT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ Louisiana Tech
Your sims:Sims: LT 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonUSM vs LT Stats Comparison
| Southern MissUSM | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#93 | PPG | 33.3#43 |
| 32.7#125 | PA/G | 24.5#76 |
| 394.5#65 | YDS/G | 393#68 |
| 260.8#39 | PASS/G | 239.8#58 |
| 133.7#105 | RUSH/G | 153.2#74 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 6#57 |
| 32.9%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 42.3%#55 |
| 0.03#111 | OFF PPA | 0.12#82 |
| 42.3%#81 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.2%#100 |
| 43.4%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 90.2% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.20#83 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#15 |
| 1183 | ELO | 1405 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | +5#15 |
| 0.18#116 | DEF PPA | -0.00#37 |
| -18.3 | SP+ | -5.9 |
| -14.7#122 | FPI | -3.7#87 |
| -17.5 | SRS | 0.1 |
THE VENUE
Joe Aillet StadiumLocationRuston, LA
Capacity28,019
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation239 ft
FAN NEWS
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