GAME DAY
Week 12 · TBDUSA radioJags Radio Network
USM radioSouthern Miss Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives South Alabama a 58% chance.
SeriesSouth Alabama leads 6–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 42–35 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USA
Home-field edge USM
Model projection USA
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Southern Miss
Your sims:Sims: USM 0, USA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
Wat Arkansas State56–49Wvs UL Monroe52–35Lat Kentucky45–21
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Alabama vs Southern Miss Stats ComparisonUSA vs USM Stats Comparison
| South AlabamaUSA | Southern MissUSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 38.8#15 | PPG | 24.2#93 |
| 34.5#131 | PA/G | 32.7#125 |
| 437.8#38 | YDS/G | 394.5#65 |
| 217.5#83 | PASS/G | 260.8#39 |
| 220.3#16 | RUSH/G | 133.7#105 |
| 6.2#50 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 44.2%#42 | 3RD DOWN | 32.9%#123 |
| 0.23#34 | OFF PPA | 0.03#111 |
| 0.27#133 | DEF PPA | 0.18#115 |
| 43.7%#66 | OFF SUCCESS | 42.3%#81 |
| 51.4%#137 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.4%#108 |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 90.2% |
| 1.33#22 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#84 |
| 1365 | ELO | 1183 |
| +8#6 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -11.1 | SP+ | -18.3 |
| -6.8#94 | FPI | -14.7#122 |
| -4.5 | SRS | -17.5 |
THE VENUE
M. M. Roberts StadiumLocationHattiesburg, MS
Capacity36,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1932
Elevation212 ft
FAN NEWS
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