GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Kansas State a 72% chance.
SeriesColorado leads 45–22–1 · Kansas State won the last meeting, 24–14 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) KSU
Home-field edge COLO
Model projection KSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas State @ Colorado
Your sims:Sims: COLO 0, KSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelKSU 72%MarketKSU 60%
Market 12 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $14 traded · as of Oct 20, 1:40 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kansas State vs Colorado Stats ComparisonKansas State vs Colorado Stats Comparison
| Kansas StateKSU | ColoradoCOLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5#33 | PPG | 19.5#123 |
| 20#40 | PA/G | 25.7#88 |
| 464.7#16 | YDS/G | 394.2#66 |
| 224.8#75 | PASS/G | 253.8#46 |
| 239.8#7 | RUSH/G | 140.3#95 |
| 6.6#23 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 59.3%#2 | 3RD DOWN | 36.1%#104 |
| 0.26#21 | OFF PPA | 0.00#121 |
| 49.9%#14 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3%#110 |
| 34.5%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.5%#42 |
| 71.4% | RET PROD | 13.7% |
| 1.19#91 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.20#88 |
| 1637 | ELO | 1353 |
| 7.6#45 | FPI | 1.0#63 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | −6#128 |
| 0.07#72 | DEF PPA | -0.01#33 |
| 11.0 | SP+ | -2.4 |
| 6.2 | SRS | -0.5 |
THE VENUE
Folsom FieldLocationBoulder, CO
Capacity50,183
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation5,361 ft
FAN NEWS
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