GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San Diego State a 71% chance.
SeriesWashington State leads 3–1 · Washington State won the last meeting, 36–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SDSU win
71% One-score game
35%
71% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SDSU
Home-field edge SDSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington St @ San Diego St
Your sims:Sims: SDSU 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)
Wvs Utah State34–21Wvs Oregon State32–8Lat James Madison24–20Washington State2025: 7–6 (1–1 PAC)San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonWSU vs SDSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Washington StateWSU | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.5#105 | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 15.4#6 |
| 339.8#107 | YDS/G | 356#91 |
| 210.4#89 | PASS/G | 157.9#125 |
| 129.5#101 | RUSH/G | 198.9#19 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 38.1%#87 | 3RD DOWN | 31.4%#130 |
| 0.13#92 | OFF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| 41.6%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| 41.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#9 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.11#131 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| −10#123 | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| 0.09#36 | DEF PPA | -0.02#3 |
| -4.3 | SP+ | 0.7 |
| -4.1#83 | FPI | 1.4#59 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Snapdragon StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity35,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2022
Elevation203 ft
FAN NEWS
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