GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San Diego State a 61% chance.
SeriesWashington State leads 3–1 · Washington State won the last meeting, 36–13 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
SDSU win
61% One-score game
39%
61% One-score game
39%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SDSU
Home-field edge SDSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington St @ San Diego St
Your sims:Sims: SDSU 0, WSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Washington State
Lat Oregon State48–30Lat Utah State17–16Lvs Fresno State26–6
San Diego State
Wvs Fresno State26–23Lat Oregon State66–14Wvs Texas State31–29
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelSDSU 61%MarketSDSU 53%
Market 8 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $43 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonWSU vs SDSU Stats Comparison
| Washington StateWSU | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20.1#120 | PPG | 23.3#101 |
| 27.1#101 | PA/G | 33.3#127 |
| 307.6#131 | YDS/G | 292.9#133 |
| 177.6#120 | PASS/G | 148.4#132 |
| 130#110 | RUSH/G | 144.4#87 |
| 4.8#130 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8#130 |
| 29.5%#134 | 3RD DOWN | 29.3%#135 |
| 0.07#69 | DEF PPA | 0.12#92 |
| 34.4%#135 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.5%#133 |
| 40.1%#61 | DEF SUCCESS | 47.7%#130 |
| 91.3% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.27#44 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#115 |
| 1446 | ELO | 1261 |
| −7#131 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| -0.04#129 | OFF PPA | -0.09#135 |
| -11.1 | SP+ | -10.2 |
| -9.0#102 | FPI | -8.8#100 |
| -9.3 | SRS | -5.7 |
THE VENUE
Snapdragon StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity35,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2022
Elevation203 ft
FAN NEWS
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