GAME DAY
Week 11 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives San Diego State a 57% chance.
SeriesSan Diego State leads 13–5 · Utah State won the last meeting, 41–20 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USU
Home-field edge SDSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Utah State @ San Diego State
Your sims:Sims: SDSU 0, USU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
San Diego State
Wvs Fresno State26–23Lat Oregon State66–14Wvs Texas State31–29
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Utah State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonUtah State vs SDSU Stats Comparison
| Utah StateUSU | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.5#136 | PPG | 23.3#101 |
| 23.5#66 | PA/G | 33.3#127 |
| 310#129 | YDS/G | 292.9#133 |
| 189.8#109 | PASS/G | 148.4#132 |
| 120.2#116 | RUSH/G | 144.4#87 |
| 5#121 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8#130 |
| 37.5%#85 | 3RD DOWN | 29.3%#135 |
| 0.05#57 | DEF PPA | 0.12#92 |
| 34.5%#133 | OFF SUCCESS | 34.5%#133 |
| 39.3%#53 | DEF SUCCESS | 47.7%#130 |
| 65.2% | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| 1.39#9 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#115 |
| 1362 | ELO | 1261 |
| −5#120 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| -0.08#133 | OFF PPA | -0.09#135 |
| -9.0 | SP+ | -10.2 |
| -7.6#96 | FPI | -8.8#100 |
| -10.7 | SRS | -5.7 |
THE VENUE
Snapdragon StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity35,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2022
Elevation203 ft
FAN NEWS
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