GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·KU radioJayhawk Radio Network
TCU radioHorned Frogs Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives TCU a 64% chance.
SeriesTCU leads 27–9–4 · TCU won the last meeting, 38–27 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TCU
Home-field edge TCU
Model projection TCU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kansas @ TCU
Your sims:Sims: TCU 0, KU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelTCU 64%MarketTCU 66%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $0 traded · as of Oct 20, 9:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Kansas vs TCU Stats ComparisonKansas vs TCU Stats Comparison
| KansasKU | TCUTCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32#50 | PPG | 24#95 |
| 24#74 | PA/G | 12.2#3 |
| 449.7#29 | YDS/G | 392.3#69 |
| 242.5#55 | PASS/G | 282.3#20 |
| 207.2#23 | RUSH/G | 110#125 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#64 |
| 38.8%#82 | 3RD DOWN | 41.5%#66 |
| 0.22#35 | OFF PPA | 0.10#86 |
| 46.0%#42 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.1%#75 |
| 36.9%#34 | DEF SUCCESS | 33.0%#6 |
| 18.1% | RET PROD | 22.4% |
| 1.35#16 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#44 |
| 1594 | ELO | 1628 |
| 7.2 | SP+ | 9.2 |
| 3.7#55 | FPI | 8.6#42 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| 0.02#43 | DEF PPA | -0.12#4 |
| -0.3 | SRS | 10.5 |
THE VENUE
Amon G. Carter StadiumLocationFort Worth, TX
Capacity46,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation608 ft
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