GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDWAKE radioDemon Deacon Sports Network
SMU radioSMU Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives SMU a 64% chance.
SeriesSMU leads 3–1 · Wake Forest won the last meeting, 13–12 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) SMU
Home-field edge SMU
Model projection SMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Wake Forest @ SMU
Your sims:Sims: SMU 0, WAKE 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Wake Forest vs SMU Stats ComparisonWake Forest vs SMU Stats Comparison
| Wake ForestWAKE | SMUSMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4#21 | PPG | 32.7#46 |
| 19.4#36 | PA/G | 21.3#47 |
| 445.9#32 | YDS/G | 470.8#14 |
| 290.3#13 | PASS/G | 329.3#5 |
| 155.6#69 | RUSH/G | 141.5#93 |
| 6.8#14 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#14 |
| 48.9%#20 | 3RD DOWN | 48.1%#23 |
| 0.34#7 | OFF PPA | 0.21#40 |
| 0.04#55 | DEF PPA | 0.06#64 |
| 48.2%#25 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2%#25 |
| 42.0%#89 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.7%#42 |
| 14.2% | RET PROD | 56.9% |
| 1.31#28 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| 1766 | ELO | 1699 |
| 10.5 | SP+ | 12.8 |
| 15.4#16 | FPI | 9.8#35 |
| 12.9 | SRS | 4.1 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
THE VENUE
Gerald J. Ford StadiumLocationUniversity Park, TX
Capacity32,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened2000
Elevation556 ft
FAN NEWS
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