GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
ARST radioRed Wolves Sports Network
Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Arkansas State a 93% chance.
SeriesArkansas State leads 26–9 · UL Monroe won the last meeting, 28–16 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) ARST
Home-field edge ARST
Model projection ARST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State
Your sims:Sims: ARST 0, ULM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3UL Monroe
Lvs Louisiana Tech24–0Lat South Alabama52–35Lvs Florida Atlantic45–17
Arkansas State
Wat Southern Miss23–13Lvs South Alabama56–49Lat Louisiana23–20
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UL Monroe vs Arkansas State Stats ComparisonUL Monroe vs ARST Stats Comparison
| UL MonroeULM | Arkansas StateARST | |
|---|---|---|
| 20#121 | PPG | 27.4#81 |
| 41.2#137 | PA/G | 26.6#95 |
| 341.3#108 | YDS/G | 366#87 |
| 220.8#80 | PASS/G | 233#67 |
| 120.5#115 | RUSH/G | 133#106 |
| 5.3#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#64 |
| 29.6%#133 | 3RD DOWN | 45.1%#36 |
| 0.29#134 | DEF PPA | 0.14#104 |
| 41.1%#93 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.2%#25 |
| 48.9%#133 | DEF SUCCESS | 45.0%#117 |
| 38.7% | RET PROD | 30.0% |
| 1.13#115 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#119 |
| 991 | ELO | 1321 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.05#130 | OFF PPA | 0.16#64 |
| -28.4 | SP+ | -8.0 |
| -26.3#137 | FPI | -8.5#99 |
| -24.8 | SRS | -7.7 |
THE VENUE
Centennial Bank StadiumLocationJonesboro, AR
Capacity30,382
SurfaceTurf
Opened1974
Elevation294 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UL Monroe or Arkansas State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 10 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
