GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·OklahomaOU0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma opens a 41.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma a 99% chance.
SeriesOklahoma leads 5–0 · Oklahoma won the last meeting, 45–13 · 2022
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OU
Home-field edge OU
Market lean OU
Model projection OU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
UTEP @ Oklahoma
Your sims:Sims: OU 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOU 99%MarketOU 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $98,113 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUTEP +41.5OU −41.5
TOTALOver 51.5Under 51.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
UTEP vs Oklahoma Stats ComparisonUTEP vs Oklahoma Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UTEPUTEP | OklahomaOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3#99 | PPG | 26.2#79 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 15.5#7 |
| 331.8#113 | YDS/G | 354.5#93 |
| 216.2#84 | PASS/G | 235.8#59 |
| 115.6#117 | RUSH/G | 118.7#113 |
| 5.1#111 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 30.3%#133 | 3RD DOWN | 38.6%#83 |
| 0.01#131 | OFF PPA | 0.11#100 |
| 32.8%#135 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.4%#95 |
| 38.9%#41 | DEF SUCCESS | 30.7%#2 |
| 1.45#4 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#64 |
| −12#129 | TO MARGIN | −3#86 |
| 0.10#43 | DEF PPA | -0.02#4 |
| -1.1% | RET PROD | 63.2% |
| -19.3 | SP+ | 18.8 |
| -16.6#132 | FPI | 17.8#12 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationNorman, OK
Capacity86,112
SurfaceGrass
Opened1925
Elevation1,165 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
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