GAME DAY
Week 13 · TBDASU radioSun Devil Radio Network
ARIZ radioWildcat Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Arizona opens a 4.5-point favorite. Our model gives Arizona a 61% chance.
SeriesArizona State leads 45–43–1 · Arizona won the last meeting, 23–7 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ARIZ
Home-field edge ARIZ
Market lean ARIZ
Model projection ARIZ
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Arizona State @ Arizona
Your sims:Sims: ARIZ 0, ASU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADASU +4.5ARIZ −4.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
MONEYLINEASU +180ARIZ −218
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Arizona State vs Arizona Stats ComparisonASU vs Arizona Stats Comparison
| Arizona StateASU | ArizonaARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.3#56 | PPG | 35.7#29 |
| 32#120 | PA/G | 19#32 |
| 420.3#49 | YDS/G | 456.5#21 |
| 276.7#23 | PASS/G | 303.8#10 |
| 143.7#88 | RUSH/G | 152.7#76 |
| 6.2#50 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#13 |
| 30.8%#129 | 3RD DOWN | 55.6%#4 |
| 0.05#107 | OFF PPA | 0.24#29 |
| 43.8%#64 | OFF SUCCESS | 49.4%#15 |
| 41.3%#80 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.0%#20 |
| 15.5% | RET PROD | 64.9% |
| 1.23#72 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#77 |
| 1435 | ELO | 1719 |
| 3.6 | SP+ | 15.2 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| 0.12#91 | DEF PPA | -0.04#19 |
| -1.3#75 | FPI | 10.5#33 |
| -3.9 | SRS | 12.3 |
THE VENUE
Arizona StadiumLocationTucson, AZ
Capacity50,782
SurfaceTurf
Opened1928
Elevation2,435 ft
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