GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Norfolk StateNORF–
StreamingESPN+
ODU radioMonarch Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Old Dominion opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives Old Dominion a 99% chance.
SeriesOld Dominion leads 4–0 · Old Dominion won the last meeting, 24–21 · 2019
What's driving the model
Home-field edge ODU
Market lean ODU
Model projection ODU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Norfolk State @ Old Dominion
Your sims:Sims: ODU 0, NORF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Norfolk StateNorfolk State2025: 0–1
Lat Rutgers60–10Old Dominion
Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)
Wvs South Florida24–10Wvs Georgia State27–10Wat Georgia Southern45–10Old Dominion2025: 10–3 (6–2 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADNORF +40.5ODU −40.5
TOTALOver 52.5Under 52.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Norfolk State vs Old Dominion Stats ComparisonNORF vs Old Dominion Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Norfolk StateNORF | Old DominionODU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 32#29 |
| – | PA/G | 18.5#14 |
| – | YDS/G | 454.9#15 |
| – | PASS/G | 216#85 |
| – | RUSH/G | 238.9#7 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.7#13 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.24#28 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.02#8 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#34 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 37.8%#25 |
| – | RET PROD | 9.2% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.27#47 |
| – | SP+ | -6.9 |
| – | FPI | -4.4#85 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
S.B. Ballard StadiumLocationNorfolk, VA
Capacity20,118
SurfaceTurf
Opened1936
Elevation10 ft
FAN NEWS
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