GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·ColgateCOLG–
StreamingESPN+
CMU radioChippewa Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Central Michigan a 84% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CMU
Home-field edge CMU
Model projection CMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Colgate @ Central Michigan
Your sims:Sims: CMU 0, COLG 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3ColgateColgate2025: 0–1
Lat Syracuse66–24Central Michigan
Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)
Lvs Northwestern34–7Lvs Toledo21–3Wat Kent State28–16Central Michigan2025: 7–6 (5–3 MAC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelCMU 84%MarketCMU 83%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $104 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Colgate vs Central Michigan Stats ComparisonColgate vs CMU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| ColgateCOLG | Central MichiganCMU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 22.5#105 |
| – | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| – | YDS/G | 332.2#112 |
| – | PASS/G | 167.1#118 |
| – | RUSH/G | 165.1#59 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 34.1%#115 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +5#35 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.14#88 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.08#32 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#91 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| – | RET PROD | 54.0% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.16#118 |
| – | SP+ | -15.1 |
| – | FPI | -12.8#120 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Kelly/Shorts StadiumLocationMount Pleasant, MI
Capacity30,255
SurfaceTurf
Opened1972
Elevation790 ft
FAN NEWS
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