GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·MOST radioBears Sports Network
FIU radioPanther Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida International a 70% chance.
SeriesMissouri State leads 1–0 · Missouri State won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FIU win
70% One-score game
35%
70% One-score game
35%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FIU
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Missouri St @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, MOST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Missouri State
Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs Arkansas State34–28Lvs Louisiana Tech42–30Lat Kennesaw State41–34Missouri State2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Florida International
Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)
Lvs UTSA57–20Wvs Sam Houston56–16Wvs Jacksonville State27–21Florida International2025: 7–6 (5–3 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri State vs Florida International Stats ComparisonMOST vs FIU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Missouri StateMOST | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.6#83 | PPG | 28.5#61 |
| 28.8#91 | PA/G | 30#105 |
| 393.4#64 | YDS/G | 397#59 |
| 279.7#16 | PASS/G | 215.4#87 |
| 113.7#118 | RUSH/G | 181.6#36 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| 36.3%#101 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.17#66 | OFF PPA | 0.16#78 |
| 0.24#122 | DEF PPA | 0.15#66 |
| 39.3%#110 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.7%#89 |
| 42.6%#87 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.9%#72 |
| 31.3% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| 1.49#2 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.31#35 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | +0#72 |
| -19.1 | SP+ | -14.5 |
| -10.3#110 | FPI | -12.6#119 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
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