GAME DAY
Week 10 · ·MOST radioBears Sports Network
FIU radioPanther Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Florida International a 86% chance.
SeriesMissouri State leads 1–0 since 2025 · Missouri State won the last meeting, 28–21 · 2025
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
FIU win
86% One-score game
22%
86% One-score game
22%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) FIU
Home-field edge FIU
Model projection FIU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Missouri St @ Florida International
Your sims:Sims: FIU 0, MOST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Missouri State
Wvs Kennesaw State24–21Lat Western Kentucky34–13Lat SMU34–24
Florida International
Lat Jacksonville State27–24Wvs New Mexico State22–3Wvs Long Island University20–3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Missouri State vs Florida International Stats ComparisonMOST vs FIU Stats Comparison
| Missouri StateMOST | Florida InternationalFIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2#108 | PPG | 19.7#122 |
| 30.5#116 | PA/G | 14.7#9 |
| 359.5#95 | YDS/G | 382.7#76 |
| 224.7#76 | PASS/G | 262.7#37 |
| 134.8#102 | RUSH/G | 120#117 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 5.4#104 |
| 35.1%#109 | 3RD DOWN | 46.4%#29 |
| 0.06#102 | OFF PPA | 0.03#113 |
| 39.6%#108 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.4%#109 |
| 49.3%#134 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#22 |
| 31.3% | RET PROD | 31.6% |
| 1.23#70 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#113 |
| 1233 | ELO | 1424 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | −1#82 |
| 0.22#125 | DEF PPA | -0.03#25 |
| -19.5 | SP+ | -5.4 |
| -14.7#123 | FPI | -9.2#103 |
| -15.6 | SRS | -8.7 |
THE VENUE
Pitbull StadiumLocationMiami, FL
Capacity20,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1995
Elevation20 ft
FAN NEWS
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