GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma State opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma State a 79% chance.
SeriesOklahoma State leads 44–28–5 · Tulsa won the last meeting, 19–12 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) EVEN
Home-field edge TLSA
Market lean OKST
Model projection OKST
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
Your sims:Sims: TLSA 0, OKST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADOKST −13.5TLSA +13.5
TOTALOver 59.5Under 59.5
MONEYLINEOKST −535TLSA +400
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Stats ComparisonOKST vs Tulsa Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Oklahoma StateOKST | TulsaTLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 14.2#134 | PPG | 23.2#100 |
| 33.3#126 | PA/G | 28.9#94 |
| 292.5#130 | YDS/G | 398.5#57 |
| 174.1#116 | PASS/G | 222.5#71 |
| 118.4#114 | RUSH/G | 176#48 |
| 4.6#129 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 34.8%#108 | 3RD DOWN | 37.9%#88 |
| 0.26#126 | DEF PPA | 0.15#68 |
| 34.2%#133 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.5%#93 |
| 44.2%#106 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.5%#84 |
| 1.17#111 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#52 |
| −5#103 | TO MARGIN | −8#117 |
| -0.01#135 | OFF PPA | 0.11#99 |
| 0.0% | RET PROD | 41.3% |
| 6.9 | SP+ | -6.1 |
| 3.3#54 | FPI | -9.0#105 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Chapman StadiumLocationTulsa, OK
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation773 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
