GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·NebraskaNEB5–2·B1G
WASH radioWashington Sports Network
NEB radioHusker Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Nebraska a 80% chance.
SeriesNebraska leads 5–4–1 · Nebraska won the last meeting, 51–38 · 2011
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NEB
Home-field edge NEB
Model projection NEB
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington @ Nebraska
Your sims:Sims: NEB 0, WASH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Nebraska75%
Washington25%
CFB Vibes ModelNEB 80%MarketNEB 75%
Market 5 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $3,905 traded · as of Oct 20, 8:20 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington vs Nebraska Stats ComparisonWashington vs Nebraska Stats Comparison
| WashingtonWASH | NebraskaNEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#78 | PPG | 35.6#32 |
| 22.7#61 | PA/G | 15.4#16 |
| 386.7#72 | YDS/G | 430.1#41 |
| 282.7#19 | PASS/G | 235.7#62 |
| 104#131 | RUSH/G | 194.4#34 |
| 6#59 | YDS/PLAY | 6#59 |
| 33.3%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 50.5%#16 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +6#13 |
| 0.15#70 | OFF PPA | 0.25#26 |
| 42.9%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.8%#54 |
| 39.0%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.6%#17 |
| 54.4% | RET PROD | 46.3% |
| 1.26#54 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#6 |
| 1704 | ELO | 1767 |
| 7.1 | SP+ | 16.9 |
| 4.7#52 | FPI | 17.1#15 |
| 0.6 | SRS | 16.7 |
| -0.02#32 | DEF PPA | -0.03#26 |
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationLincoln, NE
Capacity85,458
SurfaceTurf
Opened1923
Elevation1,164 ft
FAN NEWS
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