GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Tech opens a 10.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas Tech a 78% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 1–0–1 · Texas Tech won the last meeting, 44–41 · 2024
22% One-score game
31% Cover TTU −10.5
55%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: CIN 0, TTU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $8,968 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Texas Tech vs Cincinnati Stats ComparisonTexas Tech vs Cincinnati Stats Comparison
| Texas TechTTU | CincinnatiCIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.8#17 | PPG | 35.2#36 |
| 17.7#28 | PA/G | 26.8#97 |
| 422.5#45 | YDS/G | 460#19 |
| 229.8#71 | PASS/G | 228.8#72 |
| 192.7#37 | RUSH/G | 231.2#11 |
| 6.3#43 | YDS/PLAY | 7#10 |
| 42.9%#51 | 3RD DOWN | 49.4%#19 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +5#16 |
| 0.21#42 | OFF PPA | 0.34#8 |
| 48.5%#22 | OFF SUCCESS | 47.6%#33 |
| 37.4%#38 | DEF SUCCESS | 43.5%#110 |
| 53.4% | RET PROD | 8.3% |
| 1.12#119 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.39#10 |
| 1891 | ELO | 1466 |
| 21.6 | SP+ | 5.3 |
| 19.4#9 | FPI | 3.5#56 |
| 16.7 | SRS | 3.3 |
| -0.06#12 | DEF PPA | 0.19#116 |
THE VENUE
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