GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDWASH radioWashington Sports Network
MSU radioSpartan Media Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Washington a 62% chance.
SeriesWashington leads 4–1 · Washington won the last meeting, 41–7 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WASH
Home-field edge MSU
Model projection WASH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Washington @ Michigan State
Your sims:Sims: MSU 0, WASH 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Michigan State
Lvs Northwestern24–21Lvs Illinois38–37 (OT)Lat Wisconsin31–3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Washington vs Michigan State Stats ComparisonWashington vs MSU Stats Comparison
| WashingtonWASH | Michigan StateMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9#78 | PPG | 21.3#113 |
| 22.7#61 | PA/G | 25.4#82 |
| 386.7#72 | YDS/G | 310.7#128 |
| 282.7#19 | PASS/G | 191.6#107 |
| 104#131 | RUSH/G | 119.1#119 |
| 6#57 | YDS/PLAY | 4.8#130 |
| 33.3%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 40.2%#78 |
| 0.15#70 | OFF PPA | 0.02#118 |
| 42.9%#78 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#66 |
| 39.0%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 42.9%#99 |
| 54.4% | RET PROD | 20.9% |
| 1.26#52 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.06#135 |
| 1704 | ELO | 1463 |
| 4.7#52 | FPI | 1.7#61 |
| 0.6 | SRS | 1.7 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | −5#121 |
| -0.02#32 | DEF PPA | 0.19#118 |
| 8.2 | SP+ | -1.1 |
THE VENUE
Spartan StadiumLocationEast Lansing, MI
Capacity75,005
SurfaceGrass
Opened1923
Elevation836 ft
FAN NEWS
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