GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Oklahoma State opens a 13.5-point favorite. Our model gives Oklahoma State a 81% chance.
SeriesColorado leads 27–20–1 · Colorado won the last meeting, 52–0 · 2024
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
OKST win
81% One-score game
29% Cover OKST −13.5
52%
81% One-score game
29% Cover OKST −13.5
52%
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) OKST
Home-field edge OKST
Market lean OKST
Model projection OKST
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Colorado @ Oklahoma State
Your sims:Sims: OKST 0, COLO 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOKST 81%MarketOKST 82%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $10,465 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:40 AM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADCOLO +13.5OKST −13.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINECOLO +410OKST −550
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Colorado vs Oklahoma State Stats ComparisonColorado vs OKST Stats Comparison
| ColoradoCOLO | Oklahoma StateOKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5#123 | PPG | 37.2#22 |
| 25.7#88 | PA/G | 23.7#70 |
| 394.2#66 | YDS/G | 517.7#4 |
| 253.8#46 | PASS/G | 329.5#4 |
| 140.3#95 | RUSH/G | 188.2#40 |
| 5.5#97 | YDS/PLAY | 7.2#7 |
| 36.1%#104 | 3RD DOWN | 34.3%#112 |
| 0.00#121 | OFF PPA | 0.19#51 |
| 39.3%#111 | OFF SUCCESS | 50.3%#11 |
| 37.5%#41 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.7%#84 |
| 1.20#89 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.11#124 |
| 1353 | ELO | 1375 |
| 1.0#63 | FPI | 9.0#40 |
| −6#128 | TO MARGIN | −4#111 |
| -0.01#33 | DEF PPA | 0.08#78 |
| 13.7% | RET PROD | 0.0% |
| -2.4 | SP+ | 13.3 |
| -0.5 | SRS | 13.9 |
THE VENUE
Boone Pickens StadiumLocationStillwater, OK
Capacity55,509
SurfaceTurf
Opened1919
Elevation907 ft
FAN NEWS
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