GAME DAY
Week 9 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Oklahoma State a 69% chance.
SeriesOklahoma State leads 34–22–3 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 20–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) OKST
Home-field edge ISU
Model projection OKST
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State
Your sims:Sims: ISU 0, OKST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelOKST 69%MarketOKST 59%
Market 10 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $412 traded · as of Oct 20, 1:40 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Oklahoma State vs Iowa State Stats ComparisonOKST vs Iowa State Stats Comparison
| Oklahoma StateOKST | Iowa StateISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 37.2#22 | PPG | 29.7#68 |
| 23.7#70 | PA/G | 21.7#50 |
| 517.7#4 | YDS/G | 359.7#94 |
| 329.5#4 | PASS/G | 178.2#119 |
| 188.2#40 | RUSH/G | 181.5#47 |
| 7.2#7 | YDS/PLAY | 5.8#70 |
| 34.3%#112 | 3RD DOWN | 31.0%#127 |
| 0.19#51 | OFF PPA | 0.13#79 |
| 0.08#78 | DEF PPA | 0.07#73 |
| 50.3%#11 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.3%#110 |
| 41.7%#84 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.4%#66 |
| 1.11#124 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.30#31 |
| 1375 | ELO | 1643 |
| 13.3 | SP+ | 1.0 |
| 9.0#40 | FPI | 4.3#54 |
| 13.9 | SRS | 6.1 |
| −4#111 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| 0.0% | RET PROD | 1.7% |
THE VENUE
Jack Trice StadiumLocationAmes, IA
Capacity61,500
SurfaceGrass
Opened1975
Elevation902 ft
FAN NEWS
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