GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDIowa StateISU3–3·B12
ISU radioCyclone Radio Network
BAY radioBaylor Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Baylor a 83% chance.
SeriesBaylor leads 12–11 · Iowa State won the last meeting, 43–21 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BAY
Home-field edge BAY
Model projection BAY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa State @ Baylor
Your sims:Sims: BAY 0, ISU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa State vs Baylor Stats ComparisonIowa State vs Baylor Stats Comparison
| Iowa StateISU | BaylorBAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.7#68 | PPG | 30#65 |
| 21.7#50 | PA/G | 14.7#9 |
| 359.7#94 | YDS/G | 436.8#39 |
| 178.2#119 | PASS/G | 284.5#17 |
| 181.5#47 | RUSH/G | 152.3#76 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#111 |
| 31.0%#127 | 3RD DOWN | 39.8%#79 |
| +3#33 | TO MARGIN | +1#61 |
| 0.13#80 | OFF PPA | 0.10#87 |
| 39.3%#111 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.4%#126 |
| 40.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.4%#13 |
| 1.7% | RET PROD | 60.2% |
| 1.30#31 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.40#7 |
| 1643 | ELO | 1615 |
| 1.0 | SP+ | 12.7 |
| 4.3#54 | FPI | 10.0#34 |
| 6.1 | SRS | 8.0 |
| 0.07#73 | DEF PPA | -0.09#9 |
THE VENUE
McLane StadiumLocationWaco, TX
Capacity45,140
SurfaceTurf
Opened2014
Elevation384 ft
FAN NEWS
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