GAME DAY
Week 6 · ·Iowa StateISU0–0·B12
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 88% chance.
SeriesIowa State leads 5–1 · BYU won the last meeting, 41–27 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Iowa State @ BYU
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, ISU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Iowa State vs BYU Stats ComparisonIowa State vs BYU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Iowa StateISU | BYUBYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4#70 | PPG | 31.4#32 |
| 20.2#26 | PA/G | 19.1#19 |
| 395.6#60 | YDS/G | 400.3#55 |
| 221.4#73 | PASS/G | 221.1#74 |
| 174.2#51 | RUSH/G | 179.1#39 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| 39.9%#69 | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| +4#43 | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| 0.19#52 | OFF PPA | 0.22#33 |
| 0.09#35 | DEF PPA | 0.06#22 |
| 45.0%#38 | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0%#27 |
| 39.1%#42 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.5%#33 |
| 1.7% | RET PROD | 78.5% |
| 1.21#89 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| -0.4 | SP+ | 14.9 |
| -0.9#72 | FPI | 13.1#20 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
LaVell Edwards StadiumLocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft
FAN NEWS
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