GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·USM radioSouthern Miss Radio Network
ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southern Miss a 64% chance.
SeriesSouthern Miss leads 7–3 · Southern Miss won the last meeting, 49–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USM
Home-field edge ULM
Model projection USM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
Your sims:Sims: ULM 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
UL Monroe
Lvs Louisiana Tech24–0Lat South Alabama52–35Lvs Florida Atlantic45–17
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Stats ComparisonUSM vs UL Monroe Stats Comparison
| Southern MissUSM | UL MonroeULM | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2#93 | PPG | 20#121 |
| 32.7#125 | PA/G | 41.2#137 |
| 394.5#65 | YDS/G | 341#109 |
| 260.8#39 | PASS/G | 218.5#81 |
| 133.7#105 | RUSH/G | 122.5#113 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#111 |
| 32.9%#123 | 3RD DOWN | 30.9%#128 |
| 0.18#115 | DEF PPA | 0.30#136 |
| 42.3%#81 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.9%#84 |
| 43.4%#108 | DEF SUCCESS | 49.4%#135 |
| 90.2% | RET PROD | 38.7% |
| 1.20#84 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.14#116 |
| 1183 | ELO | 991 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | −5#120 |
| 0.03#111 | OFF PPA | -0.04#130 |
| -18.3 | SP+ | -28.4 |
| -14.7#122 | FPI | -26.3#137 |
| -17.5 | SRS | -24.8 |
THE VENUE
Malone StadiumLocationMonroe, LA
Capacity27,617
SurfaceTurf
Opened1978
Elevation75 ft
FAN NEWS
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