GAME DAY
Week 9 · TBDUSM radioSouthern Miss Radio Network
ULM radioWarhawk Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Southern Miss a 59% chance.
SeriesSouthern Miss leads 7–3 · Southern Miss won the last meeting, 49–21 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) USM
Home-field edge ULM
Model projection USM
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
Your sims:Sims: ULM 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southern Miss
Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Western Kentucky27–16Lvs Troy28–18Lat South Alabama42–35Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)UL Monroe
UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)
Lat Louisiana30–27 (OT)Lat Texas State31–14Lvs South Alabama26–14UL Monroe2025: 3–9 (1–7 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Miss vs UL Monroe Stats ComparisonUSM vs UL Monroe Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Southern MissUSM | UL MonroeULM | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.8#58 | PPG | 16.6#130 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 31.9#119 |
| 401.8#54 | YDS/G | 322.2#118 |
| 266#26 | PASS/G | 159.6#124 |
| 135.8#93 | RUSH/G | 162.6#63 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 39.7%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 32.7%#124 |
| 0.16#71 | OFF PPA | 0.08#115 |
| 0.12#54 | DEF PPA | 0.19#90 |
| 39.5%#107 | OFF SUCCESS | 37.0%#121 |
| 41.5%#68 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.7%#57 |
| 90.2% | RET PROD | 38.7% |
| 1.33#25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.37#11 |
| +14#4 | TO MARGIN | −10#123 |
| -20.7 | SP+ | -28.9 |
| -5.1#87 | FPI | -19.3#138 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Malone StadiumLocationMonroe, LA
Capacity27,617
SurfaceTurf
Opened1978
Elevation75 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Southern Miss or UL Monroe?
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