Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech, Week 8 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 8 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Louisiana Tech opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives Louisiana Tech a 80% chance.

SeriesOld Dominion leads 2–0 since 2014 · Old Dominion won the last meeting, 23–20 · 2021

WIN PROBABILITY
LT 80% ODU 20%
PROJECTED FINAL
LT win
80%
One-score game
30%
Cover LT −12.5
53%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (Elo) LT
Home-field edge LT
Market lean LT
Model projection LT
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech

Your sims:Sims: LT 0, ODU 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Louisiana Tech81%
  2. Old Dominion21%
CFB Vibes ModelLT 80%MarketLT 81%

Model and market agree

Kalshi · $1,462 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only

Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.

SPREADODU +12.5LT −12.5
TOTALOver 46.5Under 46.5
MONEYLINEODU +360LT −470

DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice

Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonOld Dominion vs LT Stats Comparison

Old DominionODULouisiana TechLT
17.7#130PPG33.3#43
26.9#99PA/G24.5#76
266.6#138YDS/G391.7#69
33.0%#1213RD DOWN44.2%#42
1216ELO1405

THE VENUE

Joe Aillet Stadium
LocationRuston, LA
Capacity28,019
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation239 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME

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CFB VIBES MODELTEX 59% to win
#14@#10
CFB VIBES MODELUTAH 66% to win
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CFB VIBES MODELMIA 91% to win
#2@
CFB VIBES MODELBYU 66% to win
#6@
CFB VIBES MODELIU 67% to win
56Games in Week 8Full schedule →