GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Louisiana Tech opens a 12.5-point favorite. Our model gives Louisiana Tech a 80% chance.
SeriesOld Dominion leads 2–0 since 2014 · Old Dominion won the last meeting, 23–20 · 2021
80% One-score game
30% Cover LT −12.5
53%
What's driving the model
Your sims:Sims: LT 0, ODU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $1,462 traded · as of Oct 20, 7:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech Stats ComparisonOld Dominion vs LT Stats Comparison
| Old DominionODU | Louisiana TechLT | |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7#130 | PPG | 33.3#43 |
| 26.9#99 | PA/G | 24.5#76 |
| 266.6#138 | YDS/G | 391.7#69 |
| 150.9#131 | PASS/G | 239.8#58 |
| 115.7#121 | RUSH/G | 151.8#80 |
| 4.3#136 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#53 |
| 33.0%#121 | 3RD DOWN | 44.2%#42 |
| 30.9%#138 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.6%#97 |
| 36.5%#28 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.2%#45 |
| 9.2% | RET PROD | 63.9% |
| 1.18#95 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.36#15 |
| 1216 | ELO | 1405 |
| −3#100 | TO MARGIN | +6#13 |
| -0.16#138 | OFF PPA | 0.13#77 |
| -0.01#33 | DEF PPA | 0.01#39 |
| -9.9 | SP+ | -5.9 |
| -14.0#119 | FPI | -3.7#87 |
| -16.6 | SRS | 0.1 |
THE VENUE
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