GAME DAY
Week 3 · ·UConnCONN0–0
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) CONN
Home-field edge USM
Model projection CONN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UConn @ Southern Miss
Your sims:Sims: USM 0, CONN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southern Miss
Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Western Kentucky27–16Lvs Troy28–18Lat South Alabama42–35Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UConn vs Southern Miss Stats ComparisonUConn vs USM Stats Comparison
2025 stats| UConnCONN | Southern MissUSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 35.3#15 | PPG | 28.8#58 |
| 27#81 | PA/G | 27.4#84 |
| 448.5#20 | YDS/G | 401.8#54 |
| 283.8#12 | PASS/G | 266#26 |
| 164.7#60 | RUSH/G | 135.8#93 |
| 6.8#11 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 40.6%#59 | 3RD DOWN | 39.7%#70 |
| +15#3 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.31#9 | OFF PPA | 0.16#71 |
| 0.21#108 | DEF PPA | 0.12#54 |
| 45.9%#28 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.5%#107 |
| 46.2%#125 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.5%#68 |
| 2.3% | RET PROD | 90.2% |
| 1.34#21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#25 |
| -11.9 | SP+ | -20.7 |
| -11.2#114 | FPI | -5.1#87 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
M. M. Roberts StadiumLocationHattiesburg, MS
Capacity36,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1932
Elevation212 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 3 GAMES
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