GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·StanfordSTAN3–4·ACC
LouisvilleLOU4–3·ACC
STAN radioStanford Radio Network
LOU radioCardinal Sports Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Louisville a 97% chance.
SeriesStanford leads 1–0 · Stanford won the last meeting, 38–35 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) LOU
Home-field edge LOU
Model projection LOU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Stanford @ Louisville
Your sims:Sims: LOU 0, STAN 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelLOU 97%MarketLOU 90%
Market 7 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $149 traded · as of Oct 20, 9:00 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Stanford vs Louisville Stats ComparisonStanford vs Louisville Stats Comparison
| StanfordSTAN | LouisvilleLOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3#127 | PPG | 38.7#16 |
| 36.6#133 | PA/G | 27.4#103 |
| 345#105 | YDS/G | 484.6#11 |
| 239.4#59 | PASS/G | 269.6#30 |
| 105.6#128 | RUSH/G | 215#20 |
| 5.3#111 | YDS/PLAY | 7.7#2 |
| 33.3%#118 | 3RD DOWN | 45.6%#33 |
| +1#61 | TO MARGIN | +6#13 |
| 0.09#93 | OFF PPA | 0.32#10 |
| 0.32#138 | DEF PPA | 0.09#80 |
| 38.6%#120 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.9%#19 |
| 47.7%#130 | DEF SUCCESS | 41.0%#75 |
| 21.3% | RET PROD | 34.8% |
| 1.20#85 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.42#3 |
| 1111 | ELO | 1713 |
| -14.9 | SP+ | 13.0 |
| -11.4#108 | FPI | 13.3#23 |
| -10.1 | SRS | 10.7 |
THE VENUE
L&N Federal Credit Union StadiumLocationLouisville, KY
Capacity60,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1998
Elevation455 ft
FAN NEWS
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