GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Auburn a 97% chance.
SeriesAuburn leads 18–5 · Auburn won the last meeting, 24–13 · 2018
What's driving the model
Home-field edge AUB
Model projection AUB
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around a league-typical total.
Southern Miss @ Auburn
Your sims:Sims: AUB 0, USM 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Southern Miss
Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)
Lvs Western Kentucky27–16Lvs Troy28–18Lat South Alabama42–35Southern Miss2025: 7–6 (5–3 SBC)Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Auburn96%- Southern Miss4%
CFB Vibes ModelAUB 97%MarketAUB 96%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $2,823 traded · as of Sep 1, 9:36 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Southern Miss vs Auburn Stats ComparisonUSM vs Auburn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Southern MissUSM | AuburnAUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28.8#58 | PPG | 26.8#74 |
| 27.4#84 | PA/G | 20.7#34 |
| 401.8#54 | YDS/G | 374#79 |
| 266#26 | PASS/G | 197.1#99 |
| 135.8#93 | RUSH/G | 176.9#43 |
| 5.7#65 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#81 |
| 39.7%#70 | 3RD DOWN | 39.2%#75 |
| +14#4 | TO MARGIN | +9#14 |
| 0.16#71 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 0.12#54 | DEF PPA | 0.06#20 |
| 39.5%#107 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.5%#51 |
| 41.5%#68 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#21 |
| 90.2% | RET PROD | 14.4% |
| 1.33#25 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.15#121 |
| -20.7 | SP+ | 11.5 |
| -5.1#87 | FPI | 12.0#22 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jordan-Hare StadiumLocationAuburn, AL
Capacity87,451
SurfaceGrass
Opened1939
Elevation660 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Southern Miss or Auburn?
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