GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Marshall a 91% chance.
SeriesSeries tied 5–5 · Marshall won the last meeting, 42–28 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, MTSU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)
Wat New Mexico State31–24 (OT)Wvs Sam Houston31–17Lat Western Kentucky42–26Middle Tennessee2025: 3–9 (2–6 CUSA)Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Middle Tennessee vs Marshall Stats ComparisonMTSU vs Marshall Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Middle TennesseeMTSU | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.4#107 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 30.9#115 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 371#82 | YDS/G | 406.1#47 |
| 264.9#28 | PASS/G | 207.9#91 |
| 106.1#121 | RUSH/G | 198.2#21 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 37.1%#93 | 3RD DOWN | 35.2%#106 |
| +2#54 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.14#85 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.21#111 | DEF PPA | 0.16#73 |
| 42.2%#70 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 44.1%#104 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.6%#35 |
| 32.5% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.22#78 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#130 |
| -26.5 | SP+ | -8.2 |
| -16.1#130 | FPI | -8.8#104 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
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