GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Texas TechTTU6–0·B12
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Tech opens a 16.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas Tech a 85% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 33–31–3 · TCU won the last meeting, 35–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) TTU
Home-field edge TTU
Market lean TTU
Model projection TTU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
TCU @ Texas Tech
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, TCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTCU +16.5TTU −16.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINETCU +625TTU −950
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
TCU vs Texas Tech Stats ComparisonTCU vs Texas Tech Stats Comparison
| TCUTCU | Texas TechTTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24#95 | PPG | 37.8#17 |
| 12.2#3 | PA/G | 17.7#28 |
| 393.7#67 | YDS/G | 422.5#45 |
| 282.3#20 | PASS/G | 229.8#71 |
| 111.3#124 | RUSH/G | 192.7#37 |
| 6#59 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 41.5%#66 | 3RD DOWN | 42.9%#51 |
| 0.11#86 | OFF PPA | 0.21#42 |
| 43.3%#72 | OFF SUCCESS | 48.5%#22 |
| 33.1%#6 | DEF SUCCESS | 37.4%#38 |
| 22.4% | RET PROD | 53.4% |
| 1.27#45 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.12#119 |
| 1628 | ELO | 1891 |
| 9.2 | SP+ | 21.6 |
| 8.6#42 | FPI | 19.4#9 |
| 10.5 | SRS | 16.7 |
| −1#82 | TO MARGIN | +3#33 |
| -0.12#6 | DEF PPA | -0.06#12 |
THE VENUE
Jones AT&T StadiumLocationLubbock, TX
Capacity60,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation3,218 ft
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