GAME DAY
Week 13 · ·Texas TechTTU0–0·B12
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Texas Tech opens a 16.5-point favorite. Our model gives Texas Tech a 85% chance.
SeriesTexas Tech leads 33–31–3 · TCU won the last meeting, 35–34 · 2024
What's driving the model
Home-field edge TTU
Market lean TTU
Model projection TTU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
TCU @ Texas Tech
Your sims:Sims: TTU 0, TCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3TCU
TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)
Lvs North Carolina15–10TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADTCU +16.5TTU −16.5
TOTALOver 55.5Under 55.5
MONEYLINETCU +625TTU −950
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
TCU vs Texas Tech Stats ComparisonTCU vs Texas Tech Stats Comparison
2025 stats| TCUTCU | Texas TechTTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7#40 | PPG | 39.4#7 |
| 25.3#72 | PA/G | 11.8#3 |
| 421.8#27 | YDS/G | 461.6#10 |
| 290.1#9 | PASS/G | 277.6#17 |
| 131.8#99 | RUSH/G | 184#31 |
| 6.1#31 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#24 |
| 47.4%#14 | 3RD DOWN | 49.3%#12 |
| +1#66 | TO MARGIN | +14#4 |
| 0.20#48 | OFF PPA | 0.25#23 |
| 44.5%#44 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#50 |
| 40.3%#51 | DEF SUCCESS | 31.5%#3 |
| 22.4% | RET PROD | 53.4% |
| 1.26#50 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.32#30 |
| 9.4 | SP+ | 21.8 |
| 6.4#38 | FPI | 20.0#10 |
| 0.14#59 | DEF PPA | -0.07#2 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Jones AT&T StadiumLocationLubbock, TX
Capacity60,454
SurfaceTurf
Opened1947
Elevation3,218 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 13 GAMES
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