GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDWMU radioBronco Radio Network
BUF radioBulls Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Michigan a 57% chance.
SeriesWestern Michigan leads 9–2 · Western Michigan won the last meeting, 48–41 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WMU
Home-field edge BUF
Model projection WMU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Michigan @ Buffalo
Your sims:Sims: BUF 0, WMU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Michigan
Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)
Wvs Kennesaw State41–6Wvs Miami (OH)23–13Wat Eastern Michigan31–21Western Michigan2025: 10–4 (7–1 MAC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Michigan vs Buffalo Stats ComparisonWMU vs Buffalo Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western MichiganWMU | BuffaloBUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9#88 | PPG | 24#93 |
| 17.4#9 | PA/G | 23.5#54 |
| 343#103 | YDS/G | 362.2#85 |
| 138.5#130 | PASS/G | 229#64 |
| 204.5#16 | RUSH/G | 133.2#97 |
| 5.2#104 | YDS/PLAY | 5.3#97 |
| 40.3%#62 | 3RD DOWN | 35.8%#103 |
| 0.10#106 | OFF PPA | 0.08#113 |
| 0.05#17 | DEF PPA | 0.11#48 |
| 42.3%#69 | OFF SUCCESS | 39.6%#106 |
| 37.5%#23 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.8%#38 |
| 1.05#136 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.17#114 |
| +9#14 | TO MARGIN | −7#112 |
| 99.7% | RET PROD | -0.8% |
| -6.0 | SP+ | -12.7 |
| -4.0#82 | FPI | -10.8#113 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
UB StadiumLocationAmherst, NY
Capacity30,270
SurfaceTurf
Opened1993
Elevation596 ft
FAN NEWS
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