Kennesaw State @ Middle Tennessee, Week 9 · 2026

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GAME DAY

Week 9 · ·
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODEL

10,000 simulations10k Sims

The Read

Our model gives Kennesaw State a 64% chance.

SeriesSeries tied 1–1 since 2024 · Kennesaw State won the last meeting, 24–16 · 2025

WIN PROBABILITY
KENN 64% MTSU 36%
PROJECTED FINAL
MTSU win
36%
One-score game
36%

What's driving the model

Ratings edge (SP+) KENN
Home-field edge MTSU
Model projection KENN
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Kennesaw St @ Middle Tennessee

Your sims:Sims: MTSU 0, KENN 0

HOW THEY GOT HERE

last 3

Market-implied win probability

  1. Middle Tennessee49%
CFB Vibes ModelMTSU 36%MarketMTSU 49%

Market 13 points higher than our model

Kalshi · $4 traded · as of Oct 20, 9:00 AM ETInformation only

No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.

Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee Stats ComparisonKENN vs MTSU Stats Comparison

Kennesaw StateKENNMiddle TennesseeMTSU
22.3#106PPG22.8#103
23.5#66PA/G28.3#109
367.3#86YDS/G321.5#122
40.8%#723RD DOWN26.2%#137
1288ELO1149

THE VENUE

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
LocationMurfreesboro, TN
Capacity30,788
SurfaceTurf
Opened1933
Elevation629 ft

FAN NEWS

2026 season

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56Games in Week 9Full schedule →