GAME DAY
Week 8 · · Watch College Football live with Fubo for $0 TodayWatch free on ▸ (opens in a new tab)
Terms & eligibility
Your location determines what plans and channels are available to you.
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Tulsa opens a 1.5-point favorite. Our model gives Tulsa a 54% chance.
SeriesTulsa leads 2–1 · Tulsa won the last meeting, 26–25 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ARMY
Home-field edge TLSA
Market lean TLSA
Model projection TLSA
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Army @ Tulsa
Your sims:Sims: TLSA 0, ARMY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelTLSA 54%MarketTLSA 54%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $7,120 traded · as of Oct 20, 6:20 AM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADARMY +1.5TLSA −1.5
TOTALOver 53.5Under 53.5
MONEYLINEARMY +100TLSA −120
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Army vs Tulsa Stats ComparisonArmy vs Tulsa Stats Comparison
| ArmyARMY | TulsaTLSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 34.8#39 | PPG | 29#72 |
| 20#40 | PA/G | 22.4#60 |
| 426.7#42 | YDS/G | 364#89 |
| 69.2#137 | PASS/G | 204.4#97 |
| 357.5#1 | RUSH/G | 159.6#66 |
| 6.5#28 | YDS/PLAY | 5.5#97 |
| 52.1%#11 | 3RD DOWN | 31.3%#125 |
| +2#47 | TO MARGIN | +11#3 |
| 0.35#4 | OFF PPA | 0.16#63 |
| 0.17#113 | DEF PPA | 0.04#52 |
| 53.3%#3 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.0%#104 |
| 43.1%#101 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.9%#72 |
| 80.2% | RET PROD | 41.3% |
| 1.09#129 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.24#66 |
| 1583 | ELO | 1287 |
| 5.0 | SRS | 0.1 |
| -0.9 | SP+ | -5.1 |
| -0.0#69 | FPI | -3.7#86 |
THE VENUE
Chapman StadiumLocationTulsa, OK
Capacity30,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1930
Elevation773 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Army or Tulsa?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 8 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
