GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StreamingESPN+
BYU radioNu Skin BYU Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
BYU opens a 51.5-point favorite. Our model gives BYU a 99% chance.
SeriesBYU leads 1–0 · BYU won the last meeting, 52–26 · 2022
What's driving the model
Home-field edge BYU
Market lean BYU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Utah Tech @ BYU
Your sims:Sims: BYU 0, UTU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
BYU99%- Utah Tech1%
CFB Vibes ModelBYU 99%MarketBYU 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $47,063 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUTU +51.5BYU −51.5
TOTALOver 61.5Under 61.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Utah Tech vs BYU Stats ComparisonUtah Tech vs BYU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Utah TechUTU | BYUBYU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 31.4#32 |
| – | PA/G | 19.1#19 |
| – | YDS/G | 400.3#55 |
| – | PASS/G | 221.1#74 |
| – | RUSH/G | 179.1#39 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6#38 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 41.4%#49 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +8#18 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.22#33 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.06#22 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 46.0%#27 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 38.5%#33 |
| – | RET PROD | 78.5% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| – | SP+ | 14.9 |
| – | FPI | 13.1#20 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
LaVell Edwards StadiumLocationProvo, UT
Capacity63,470
SurfaceGrass
Opened1964
Elevation4,633 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
