GAME DAY
Week 10 · TBDAlabamaALA5–2·SEC
ALA radioCrimson Tide Sports Network
LSU radioLSU Sports Radio Network
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
LSU opens a 3.5-point favorite. Our model gives LSU a 58% chance.
SeriesAlabama leads 58–26–5 · Alabama won the last meeting, 20–9 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (Elo) ALA
Home-field edge LSU
Market lean LSU
Model projection LSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Alabama @ LSU
Your sims:Sims: LSU 0, ALA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADALA +3.5LSU −3.5
TOTALOver 54.5Under 54.5
MONEYLINEALA +154LSU −185
DraftKings · updated Oct 20, 6:02 AM ETNot gambling advice
Alabama vs LSU Stats ComparisonAlabama vs LSU Stats Comparison
| AlabamaALA | LSULSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.3#12 | PPG | 40.4#7 |
| 21.4#48 | PA/G | 15.9#17 |
| 416.6#51 | YDS/G | 504#7 |
| 252.7#48 | PASS/G | 307.9#8 |
| 163.9#61 | RUSH/G | 196.1#32 |
| 6.6#23 | YDS/PLAY | 6.3#43 |
| 43.4%#50 | 3RD DOWN | 53.3%#7 |
| 0.25#24 | OFF PPA | 0.26#22 |
| 48.0%#28 | OFF SUCCESS | 51.9%#4 |
| 36.8%#32 | DEF SUCCESS | 34.0%#9 |
| 26.4% | RET PROD | 21.2% |
| 1.29#37 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#96 |
| 1934 | ELO | 1913 |
| 23.0 | SP+ | 21.7 |
| 24.2#6 | FPI | 23.0#8 |
| 24.6 | SRS | 24.8 |
| +5#16 | TO MARGIN | −2#91 |
| -0.04#21 | DEF PPA | -0.12#5 |
THE VENUE
Tiger Stadium (LA)LocationBaton Rouge, LA
Capacity102,321
SurfaceGrass
Opened1924
Elevation25 ft
FAN NEWS
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