GAME DAY
Week 8 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Marshall a 74% chance.
SeriesSouth Alabama leads 1–0 · South Alabama won the last meeting, 28–0 · 2023
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MRSH
Home-field edge MRSH
Model projection MRSH
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
South Alabama @ Marshall
Your sims:Sims: MRSH 0, USA 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3South Alabama
South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)
Lat Texas State49–26Wvs Southern Miss42–35Wat UL Monroe26–14South Alabama2025: 4–8 (3–5 SBC)Marshall
Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)
Lvs Georgia Southern24–19Lat App State26–24Wat Georgia State30–18Marshall2025: 5–7 (3–5 SBC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
South Alabama vs Marshall Stats ComparisonUSA vs Marshall Stats Comparison
2025 stats| South AlabamaUSA | MarshallMRSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5#76 | PPG | 30.8#37 |
| 30.4#110 | PA/G | 30.2#106 |
| 382.2#75 | YDS/G | 406.1#47 |
| 181.1#114 | PASS/G | 207.9#91 |
| 201.2#18 | RUSH/G | 198.2#21 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| 42.6%#39 | 3RD DOWN | 35.2%#106 |
| +3#46 | TO MARGIN | +6#27 |
| 0.16#74 | OFF PPA | 0.16#72 |
| 0.24#120 | DEF PPA | 0.16#73 |
| 41.8%#76 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.9%#47 |
| 43.3%#94 | DEF SUCCESS | 38.6%#35 |
| 78.6% | RET PROD | 98.8% |
| 1.20#98 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.13#130 |
| -14.6 | SP+ | -8.2 |
| -10.5#112 | FPI | -8.8#104 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Joan C. Edwards StadiumLocationHuntington, WV
Capacity38,016
SurfaceTurf
Opened1991
Elevation537 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about South Alabama or Marshall?
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
