GAME DAY
Week 9 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k Sims
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) NDSU
Home-field edge NDSU
Model projection NDSU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
UTEP @ North Dakota State
Your sims:Sims: NDSU 0, UTEP 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelNDSU 99%MarketNDSU 93%
Market 6 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $2,070 traded · as of Oct 20, 3:00 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
UTEP vs North Dakota State Stats ComparisonUTEP vs NDSU Stats Comparison
| UTEPUTEP | North Dakota StateNDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1#134 | PPG | 29.4#70 |
| 37.3#134 | PA/G | 11.3#2 |
| 286.3#135 | YDS/G | 362#91 |
| 151.9#130 | PASS/G | 187.3#112 |
| 134.4#104 | RUSH/G | 174.7#51 |
| 4.9#124 | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#86 |
| 24.7%#138 | 3RD DOWN | 41.3%#68 |
| 34.6%#132 | OFF SUCCESS | 41.3%#90 |
| 46.6%#124 | DEF SUCCESS | 36.5%#28 |
| 1.33#21 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#52 |
| 992 | ELO | 1634 |
| −2#91 | TO MARGIN | +8#6 |
| -0.11#137 | OFF PPA | 0.13#78 |
| 0.25#129 | DEF PPA | -0.14#3 |
| -1.1% | RET PROD | – |
| -24.6 | SP+ | 9.5 |
| -24.4#136 | FPI | -0.2#71 |
| -22.7 | SRS | 2.4 |
THE VENUE
FargodomeLocationFargo, ND
Capacity18,700
SurfaceTurf
Opened1992
Elevation901 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about UTEP or North Dakota State?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
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