GAME DAY
Week 5 · TBDBYU radioNu Skin BYU Sports Network
TCU radioHorned Frogs Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives BYU a 54% chance.
SeriesTCU leads 7–6 · BYU won the last meeting, 44–13 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) BYU
Home-field edge TCU
Model projection BYU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
BYU @ TCU
Your sims:Sims: TCU 0, BYU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3TCU
TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)
Lvs North Carolina15–10TCU2026: 0–1 (0–0 B12)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
BYU vs TCU Stats ComparisonBYU vs TCU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| BYUBYU | TCUTCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4#32 | PPG | 30.7#40 |
| 19.1#19 | PA/G | 25.3#72 |
| 400.3#55 | YDS/G | 421.8#27 |
| 221.1#74 | PASS/G | 290.1#9 |
| 179.1#39 | RUSH/G | 131.8#99 |
| 6#38 | YDS/PLAY | 6.1#31 |
| 41.4%#49 | 3RD DOWN | 47.4%#14 |
| +8#18 | TO MARGIN | +1#66 |
| 0.22#33 | OFF PPA | 0.20#48 |
| 0.06#22 | DEF PPA | 0.14#59 |
| 46.0%#27 | OFF SUCCESS | 44.5%#44 |
| 38.5%#33 | DEF SUCCESS | 40.3%#51 |
| 78.5% | RET PROD | 22.4% |
| 1.18#106 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.26#50 |
| 14.9 | SP+ | 9.4 |
| 13.1#20 | FPI | 6.4#38 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Amon G. Carter StadiumLocationFort Worth, TX
Capacity46,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened1929
Elevation608 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about BYU or TCU?
Link a team hub in a post on your own blog and it shows up here, in front of the fans looking for exactly it. Free, no exclusivity, and the link back to you is the whole point.
MORE WEEK 5 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
