GAME DAY
Week 7 · ·CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Kentucky a 81% chance.
SeriesWestern Kentucky leads 3–1 · Western Kentucky won the last meeting, 41–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WKU
Home-field edge SHSU
Model projection WKU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston
Your sims:Sims: SHSU 0, WKU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky2025: 9–4 (6–2 CUSA)
Wvs Southern Miss27–16Lat Jacksonville State37–34Lat LSU13–10Western Kentucky2025: 9–4 (6–2 CUSA)Sam Houston
Sam Houston2025: 2–10 (1–7 CUSA)
Lvs Florida International56–16Lat Middle Tennessee31–17Wvs Delaware26–23Sam Houston2025: 2–10 (1–7 CUSA)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston Stats ComparisonWKU vs Sam Houston Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Western KentuckyWKU | Sam HoustonSHSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29.5#49 | PPG | 17.8#127 |
| 22.8#47 | PA/G | 37.8#133 |
| 406.8#45 | YDS/G | 316.8#121 |
| 272.2#22 | PASS/G | 184#110 |
| 134.6#94 | RUSH/G | 132.8#98 |
| 5.8#55 | YDS/PLAY | 5#117 |
| 45.9%#24 | 3RD DOWN | 22.2%#136 |
| 0.17#70 | OFF PPA | 0.00#132 |
| 0.10#39 | DEF PPA | 0.24#118 |
| 43.4%#53 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.3%#125 |
| 36.4%#15 | DEF SUCCESS | 47.9%#130 |
| 83.7% | RET PROD | 57.7% |
| 1.20#95 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#56 |
| −7#112 | TO MARGIN | +2#54 |
| -7.3 | SP+ | -26.0 |
| -4.9#86 | FPI | -18.4#136 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Elliott T. Bowers StadiumLocationHuntsville, TX
Capacity14,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1986
Elevation419 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Western Kentucky or Sam Houston?
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