GAME DAY
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Western Kentucky a 60% chance.
SeriesWestern Kentucky leads 1–0 since 2025 · Western Kentucky won the last meeting, 27–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) WKU
Home-field edge WKU
Model projection WKU
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Delaware @ Western Kentucky
Your sims:Sims: WKU 0, DEL 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
Western Kentucky
Wat Sam Houston16–3Wvs Missouri State34–13Lat New Mexico State34–13
Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelWKU 60%MarketWKU 65%
Market 5 points higher than our model
Kalshi · $128 traded · as of Oct 20, 12:20 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Delaware vs Western Kentucky Stats ComparisonDelaware vs WKU Stats Comparison
| DelawareDEL | Western KentuckyWKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8#103 | PPG | 21.3#113 |
| 26.8#97 | PA/G | 30.6#117 |
| 365#88 | YDS/G | 353#101 |
| 271#29 | PASS/G | 218.3#82 |
| 94#135 | RUSH/G | 134.7#102 |
| 5.6#86 | YDS/PLAY | 4.9#124 |
| 31.6%#124 | 3RD DOWN | 40.7%#74 |
| 0.04#110 | OFF PPA | 0.03#114 |
| 0.11#86 | DEF PPA | 0.13#99 |
| 38.6%#120 | OFF SUCCESS | 36.6%#129 |
| 40.3%#63 | DEF SUCCESS | 39.5%#56 |
| 84.9% | RET PROD | 83.7% |
| 1.28#40 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.25#58 |
| 1325 | ELO | 1269 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | −3#100 |
| -13.1 | SP+ | -13.0 |
| -14.1#120 | FPI | -11.9#110 |
| -14.5 | SRS | -11.2 |
THE VENUE
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumLocationBowling Green, KY
Capacity22,113
SurfaceTurf
Opened1968
Elevation507 ft
FAN NEWS
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