GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·StreamingESPN+
RICE radioOwl Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Rice opens a 22.5-point favorite. Our model gives Rice a 96% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Houston Christian
11
RICE win
96% One-score game
11% Cover RICE −22.5
62%
96% One-score game
11% Cover RICE −22.5
62%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge RICE
Market lean RICE
Model projection RICE
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Houston Christian @ Rice
Your sims:Sims: RICE 0, HCU 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Houston ChristianHouston Christian2025: 0–1
Lat Nebraska59–7Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Rice95%- Houston Christian6%
CFB Vibes ModelRICE 96%MarketRICE 95%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $6,985 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADHCU +22.5RICE −22.5
TOTALOver 47.5Under 47.5
MONEYLINEHCU +1100RICE −2100
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Houston Christian vs Rice Stats ComparisonHCU vs Rice Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Houston ChristianHCU | RiceRICE | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 19.1#121 |
| – | PA/G | 32.9#124 |
| – | YDS/G | 302.4#126 |
| – | PASS/G | 97.6#135 |
| – | RUSH/G | 204.8#15 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 4.5#133 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 34.0%#116 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −4#98 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.04#126 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.24#120 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 35.6%#128 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 41.4%#66 |
| – | RET PROD | 39.4% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.21#90 |
| – | SP+ | -15.3 |
| – | FPI | -13.4#122 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Rice StadiumLocationHouston, TX
Capacity47,000
SurfaceTurf
Opened1950
Elevation23 ft
FAN NEWS
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