GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·LafayetteLAF–
UConnCONN0–0
StreamingUConn+
CONN radioUConn Sports Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
UConn opens a 19.5-point favorite. Our model gives UConn a 91% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Lafayette
18
CONN win
91% One-score game
17% Cover CONN −19.5
55%
91% One-score game
17% Cover CONN −19.5
55%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge CONN
Market lean CONN
Model projection CONN
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Lafayette @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, LAF 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
UConn91%- Lafayette10%
CFB Vibes ModelCONN 91%MarketCONN 91%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $5,144 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADLAF +19.5CONN −19.5
TOTALOver 57.5Under 57.5
MONEYLINELAF +800CONN −1350
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Lafayette vs UConn Stats ComparisonLafayette vs UConn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| LafayetteLAF | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 35.3#15 |
| – | PA/G | 27#81 |
| – | YDS/G | 448.5#20 |
| – | PASS/G | 283.8#12 |
| – | RUSH/G | 164.7#60 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +15#3 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.31#9 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9%#28 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| – | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| – | SP+ | -11.9 |
| – | FPI | -11.2#114 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
