GAME DAY
Week 2 · ·MarylandMD0–0·B1G
UConnCONN0–0
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Maryland a 78% chance.
SeriesMaryland leads 3–1 · Maryland won the last meeting, 50–7 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) MD
Home-field edge CONN
Model projection MD
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Maryland @ UConn
Your sims:Sims: CONN 0, MD 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
CFB Vibes ModelMD 78%MarketMD 67%
Market 11 points lower than our model
Kalshi · $10 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:51 PM ETInformation only
Each side is a separate contract, so the two need not total exactly 100%.
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Maryland vs UConn Stats ComparisonMaryland vs UConn Stats Comparison
2025 stats| MarylandMD | UConnCONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5#95 | PPG | 35.3#15 |
| 26.5#76 | PA/G | 27#81 |
| 361.2#87 | YDS/G | 448.5#20 |
| 255.7#35 | PASS/G | 283.8#12 |
| 105.5#122 | RUSH/G | 164.7#60 |
| 5.5#81 | YDS/PLAY | 6.8#11 |
| 36.6%#99 | 3RD DOWN | 40.6%#59 |
| +7#21 | TO MARGIN | +15#3 |
| 0.11#97 | OFF PPA | 0.31#9 |
| 0.11#50 | DEF PPA | 0.21#108 |
| 38.7%#113 | OFF SUCCESS | 45.9%#28 |
| 43.2%#93 | DEF SUCCESS | 46.2%#125 |
| 54.0% | RET PROD | 2.3% |
| 1.29#41 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#21 |
| 5.2 | SP+ | -11.9 |
| 1.0#61 | FPI | -11.2#114 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Pratt & Whitney StadiumLocationEast Hartford, CT
Capacity40,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2003
Elevation21 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Maryland or UConn?
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