GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Portland StatePRST–
TVUSA Net
SDSU radioAztec Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
San Diego State opens a 40.5-point favorite. Our model gives San Diego State a 99% chance.
SeriesSan Diego State leads 1–0 · San Diego State won the last meeting, 52–17 · 2007
What's driving the model
Home-field edge SDSU
Market lean SDSU
Model projection SDSU
Each game samples a margin around the market spread and a final total around the market total.
Portland State @ San Diego State
Your sims:Sims: SDSU 0, PRST 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3San Diego State
San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)
Lvs North Texas49–47Lat New Mexico23–17 (OT)Wvs San José State25–3San Diego State2025: 9–4 (6–2 MWC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADPRST +40.5SDSU −40.5
TOTALOver 61.5Under 61.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Portland State vs San Diego State Stats ComparisonPRST vs SDSU Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Portland StatePRST | San Diego StateSDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 26.4#77 |
| – | PA/G | 15.4#6 |
| – | YDS/G | 356#91 |
| – | PASS/G | 157.9#125 |
| – | RUSH/G | 198.9#19 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.6#74 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 31.4%#130 |
| – | TO MARGIN | +3#46 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.12#95 |
| – | DEF PPA | -0.02#3 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 41.2%#81 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 35.4%#9 |
| – | RET PROD | 98.7% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.18#106 |
| – | SP+ | 0.7 |
| – | FPI | 1.4#59 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Snapdragon StadiumLocationSan Diego, CA
Capacity35,000
SurfaceGrass
Opened2022
Elevation203 ft
FAN NEWS
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