GAME DAY
Week 11 · TBDTROY radioTroy Sports Network
USA radioJags Radio Network
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Terms & eligibility
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CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Troy a 51% chance.
SeriesTroy leads 10–4 since 2012 · Troy won the last meeting, 31–24 · 2025
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) TROY
Home-field edge USA
Model projection TROY
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
Troy @ South Alabama
Your sims:Sims: USA 0, TROY 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3
South Alabama
Wat Arkansas State56–49Wvs UL Monroe52–35Lat Kentucky45–21
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
Troy vs South Alabama Stats ComparisonTroy vs USA Stats Comparison
| TroyTROY | South AlabamaUSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24.3#92 | PPG | 38.8#15 |
| 25.5#83 | PA/G | 34.5#131 |
| 402.7#63 | YDS/G | 437.8#38 |
| 198#102 | PASS/G | 217.5#83 |
| 204.7#27 | RUSH/G | 220.3#17 |
| 5.8#70 | YDS/PLAY | 6.2#50 |
| 36.5%#98 | 3RD DOWN | 44.2%#42 |
| 0.09#95 | OFF PPA | 0.23#33 |
| 0.08#77 | DEF PPA | 0.27#133 |
| 41.3%#90 | OFF SUCCESS | 43.7%#66 |
| 40.9%#72 | DEF SUCCESS | 51.4%#137 |
| 35.3% | RET PROD | 78.6% |
| 1.25#59 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.33#21 |
| 1359 | ELO | 1365 |
| +0#70 | TO MARGIN | +8#6 |
| -6.6 | SP+ | -11.1 |
| -9.6#105 | FPI | -6.8#94 |
| -11.7 | SRS | -4.5 |
THE VENUE
Hancock Whitney StadiumLocationMobile, AL
Capacity25,450
SurfaceTurf
Opened2020
Elevation148 ft
FAN NEWS
2026 seasonWrite about Troy or South Alabama?
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