GAME DAY
Week 6 · TBDUNC radioTar Heel Sports Network
PITT radioPanthers Radio Network
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Our model gives Pittsburgh a 66% chance.
SeriesNorth Carolina leads 12–6 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting, 34–24 · 2024
What's driving the model
Ratings edge (SP+) PITT
Home-field edge PITT
Model projection PITT
Each game samples a margin around our projection from this season's ratings and a final total around a league-typical total.
North Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Your sims:Sims: PITT 0, UNC 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3North Carolina
North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)
Wvs TCU15–10North Carolina2026: 1–0 (0–0 ACC)Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →No betting lines have been posted for this game yet.
North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Stats ComparisonUNC vs Pittsburgh Stats Comparison
2025 stats| North CarolinaUNC | PittsburghPITT | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2#120 | PPG | 33.7#20 |
| 24.5#65 | PA/G | 24.8#68 |
| 289.1#131 | YDS/G | 391.2#67 |
| 183.9#111 | PASS/G | 273.5#20 |
| 105.2#123 | RUSH/G | 117.7#116 |
| 4.9#120 | YDS/PLAY | 5.7#65 |
| 36.9%#94 | 3RD DOWN | 33.3%#120 |
| 0.06#122 | OFF PPA | 0.17#61 |
| 0.15#64 | DEF PPA | 0.07#27 |
| 38.8%#112 | OFF SUCCESS | 40.3%#98 |
| 41.4%#66 | DEF SUCCESS | 35.6%#11 |
| 27.8% | RET PROD | 39.7% |
| 1.16#116 | EXPLOSIVE | 1.34#19 |
| 3.5 | SP+ | 6.2 |
| 4.9#42 | FPI | 6.6#36 |
| −3#86 | TO MARGIN | −2#81 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Acrisure StadiumLocationPittsburgh, PA
Capacity68,400
SurfaceGrass
Opened2001
Elevation724 ft
FAN NEWS
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TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
