GAME DAY
Week 1 · ·Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB–
MissouriMIZ0–0·SEC
CFB VIBES MODEL (CVM)CVM MODELThe CFB Vibes Model is our game simulator. It replays this matchup 10,000 times using team ratings, the betting line and home-field edge, then reports how often each side wins and the most likely score.How has it done? Track record →
10,000 simulations10k SimsThe Read
Missouri opens a 54.5-point favorite. Our model gives Missouri a 99% chance.
SeriesFirst meeting
WIN PROBABILITY
PROJECTED FINAL
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
13
MIZ win
99% One-score game
4% Cover MIZ −54.5
13%
99% One-score game
4% Cover MIZ −54.5
13%
What's driving the model
Home-field edge MIZ
Market lean MIZ
Model projection MIZ
Each game samples a margin around the Kalshi market price and a final total around the market total.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Missouri
Your sims:Sims: MIZ 0, UAPB 0
HOW THEY GOT HERE
last 3Arkansas-Pine BluffArkansas-Pine Bluff2025: 0–1
Lat Texas Tech67–7Prediction Market
See All Prediction Markets →All →Market-implied win probability
Missouri99%- Arkansas-Pine Bluff1%
CFB Vibes ModelMIZ 99%MarketMIZ 99%
Model and market agree
Kalshi · $170,275 traded · as of Sep 1, 8:06 PM ETInformation only
Betting Lines
See All Betting Odds →All →SPREADUAPB +54.5MIZ −54.5
TOTALOver 60.5Under 60.5
DraftKings · updated Sep 1, 6:27 PM ETNot gambling advice
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Missouri Stats ComparisonUAPB vs Missouri Stats Comparison
2025 stats| Arkansas-Pine BluffUAPB | MissouriMIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| – | PPG | 30.2#44 |
| – | PA/G | 18.9#17 |
| – | YDS/G | 416.8#31 |
| – | PASS/G | 188.4#104 |
| – | RUSH/G | 228.5#8 |
| – | YDS/PLAY | 5.9#46 |
| – | 3RD DOWN | 44.9%#29 |
| – | TO MARGIN | −5#103 |
| – | OFF PPA | 0.21#35 |
| – | DEF PPA | 0.03#10 |
| – | OFF SUCCESS | 45.4%#34 |
| – | DEF SUCCESS | 34.9%#7 |
| – | RET PROD | 42.0% |
| – | EXPLOSIVE | 1.22#75 |
| – | SP+ | 15.4 |
| – | FPI | 12.2#21 |
2025 season stats and 2026 season ratings. 2026 has not published these numbers yet.
THE VENUE
Memorial StadiumLocationColumbia, MO
Capacity71,168
SurfaceTurf
Opened1927
Elevation698 ft
FAN NEWS
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MORE WEEK 1 GAMES
TIMES SHOWN IN VENUE LOCAL TIME
